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Mars or Venus: Which is a Better Home for Humanity's Future?

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Here at Republibot our mandate is to ask questions that no one else is asking; ideally the painfully obvious ones that no one even *thinks* to ask. To that end, I have to think it’s well beyond time to question what the appropriate focus of our manned space program should be: Mars, or Venus? The common wisdom, of course, is “Mars! What the hell is wrong with you? Why would you even ask such a thing?” But of course the Common Wisdom is Common simply because no one ever questions it, not because it’s inherently right. We’ll discuss the Pros and Cons for each planet under the jump.

It is taken as axiomatic in Science Fiction that humanity’s future lies in space. If that assumption is really the case, then a fundamental failing of NASA – and indeed every Space Agency in the world – is that everyone is talking about exploration and no one is talking about colonization. In fact, the last NASA symposium on that subject was in 1977, a full thirty-two years ago! The Soviets never discussed it as far as I can tell, and the Russians are far too pragmatic and cash starved to even joke about such things. The Chinese Space Program is likewise barely soldiering along, so the idea is not even a blip on their radar at the present, insofar as we can tell.

Granted, in a world that hasn’t even visited its own moon in thirty-seven years, things like “Space colonization” do seem a bit grandiose, but the desire to at least check out the apartment is hardwired in to us, even if you don’t have the money to move there. So we sublimate our inherent primate desire for territorial expansion with the code word “Exploration.” We’ll not go to the Moon or Mars to claim it for the US or Mother Russia, instead we’ll go simply as lookey-loos, in the sake of science, ostensibly trying to find evidence of long-extinct extraterrestrial life or subterranean water, which may not exist in the first place, rather than for any of the more bankable reasons that people actually give a damn about.

But inasmuch as we talk (And talk. And talk. And talk some more) about manned exploration of space without ever actually doing anything about it, the target of choice is always Mars. And there’s always some mumbled sentiment about how “Mars is the future.” We hear this so much, and for so long now – more than half a century – that we tend to accept it without thinking, much the same way that Democrats automatically assume all Republicans are stupid, and the way most people believe all French people are rude. Mars is the logical choice, right? Yes? Isn’t it? I mean, it’s *such* a logical choice that people have ceased to consider any other option. It has become the *only* choice. From where I sit, having just one choice is pretty much the same as having no choices at all, and I recoil from that idea. So let’s look at our options, shall we?

First, as a baseline comparison, let’s take a look at our own planet: - Our diameter is just shy of 8,000 miles, our breathable atmospheric pressure is just under 15 pounds per square inch at sea level, and our average surface temperature is a surprisingly low 57.2 degrees. Our day is 24 hours, and our year is 365.25 days. Our gravity at the surface is 1G. There is lots and lots of liquid water because of this high gravity (Earth is the densest object in the Solar System this side of people who voted for Hillary in the primaries), and our ‘gravity well’ is deep enough that we never loose any of it to space. The same goes for the air: we have a thick atmosphere and a disproportionately strong magnetic field that, working together, screen out nearly all solar and cosmic radiation. It’s home.

Now let’s take a look at Mars: - The planet’s diameter is just shy of 4,220 miles, or a hair over half that of Earth. Such atmosphere as there is on mars is toxic, and the pressure is just about 1/11th pound per square inch at ground level. (Yes, you read that right, it’s that low!), and our average surface temperature is around 51 degrees below zero, Fahrenheit (Though at the equator during a particularly hot summer, it might get up to a balmy 23 degrees above zero.) The Martian day is 24

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Mama Fisi
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Cool find

Interesting information. I'm not sure a floating city would solve the problem of resource depletion, since the inhaitants would need food and material from somewhere (and that can't be "pulled from thin air," ha-ha) but the bit about it being Earthlike conditions at 50K in Venus's atmosphere is very encouraging.

Anybody know whether fabric made from carbon nanotubes would be resistant to sulphuric acid?

Or how about engineering a "fabric" that regrows organically from the inside, so that it's constantly replenishing its outer shell?

Masquerading as a normal person day after day is exhausting.
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10000li
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Bucky Fuller's "Cloud 9"

From Wikipedia:

Buckminster Fuller proposed the concept [of a floating city] ... in the form of the Cloud nine (Tensegrity sphere) megastructure, in which he envisioned structural spheres that float freely in the sky, allowing passengers a migratory lifestyle and a solution to the depletion of Earth's resources. He proposed a 1-mile-diameter (1.6 km) geodesic sphere that would be heated by sunlight, functioning as a thermal airship.

Venus

A design similar to Fuller's Cloud Nine might permit habitation in the upper atmosphere of Venus, where at ground level the temperature is too hot and the atmospheric pressure too great. As proposed by Geoffrey A. Landis, the easiest planet (other than Earth) to place floating cities at this point would appear to be Venus. Because the thick carbon dioxide atmosphere is 50% denser than air, breathable air (21:79 Oxygen-Nitrogen mixture) is a lifting gas in the dense Venusian atmosphere, with over 60% of the lifting power that helium has on Earth. In effect, a balloon full of human-breathable air would sustain itself and extra weight (such as a colony) in midair. This means that any large structure filled with air would float on the carbon dioxide, with the air's natural buoyancy counteracting the weight of the structure itself.

At an altitude of 50 km above the Venusian surface, the environment is the "most Earthlike in the solar system", with a pressure of approximately 1 bar and temperatures in the 0°C-50°C range. Because there is not a significant pressure difference between the inside and the outside of the breathable-air balloon, any rips or tears would cause gases to diffuse at normal atmospheric mixing rates, giving time to repair any such damage. In addition, humans would not require pressurized suits when outside, merely air to breathe and a protection from the acidic rain.

Since such colonies would be viable in current Venusian conditions, this allows a dynamic approach to colonization instead of requiring extensive terraforming measures in advance. The main challenge would be using a substance resistant to sulfuric acid to serve as the structure's outer layer; ceramics or metal sulfates could possibly serve in this role. (The sulfuric acid itself may prove to be the main motivation for creating the structure in the first place,[original research?] as the acid has proven to be extremely useful for many different purposes.)

Mama Fisi
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Balloonatics

Could the rising heat be used to float those airship cities?

Human beings have usually developed ways of coping with the environments they migrated into, rather than changing the environments to mimic "home." True, they usually try to find a place very close to the "home" they left--why the Scots-Irish and Swiss settled in West Virginia, for example--and the English are kind of infamous for wanting English gardens, trout runs, and fox hunts wherever they set up camp; but for the most part humanity has adapted to the climate.

We won't try draining the ocean so we can farm the sea floor, or paint Antarctica black to melt the permafrost so we can grow wheat on the bottom of the world. We've done some irrigating and desalinization, but there are still vast (and growing) deserts out there than no one can change into golf courses (okay, maybe around Phoenix, but change the aquifer and they're all back to desert again.)

We excel at adapting and improvising. And I still think we should use our smarts to fix Earth up before we go around drawing up plans for million-mile-long nets to catch ice asteroids to be slung into Venus in the hopes of cooling her atmosphere enough in half a million years so maybe some humanoid life-form can live on her.

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Republibot 3.0
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Not really

>>Mars and Venus are both at the extreme edges of the habitable zone with Mars having an environment almost livable.<<

Well, that's what we were taught when we were kids, but nowadays most scientists assume both planets are well outside the goldylocks zone.

>>In the summer it gets warm enough at the equator for liquid water.<<

It doesn't. Highest recorded temperature on Mars is -20 deg F.

>>It would be easier to rise Mars’s temperature and thicken its atmosphere and since there is water already there a viable environment is only a century or two a way it we spend trillions+ on the project.<<

The problem is that a thick poisonous atmosphere of CO2 is no better than a tenuous poisonous atmosphere of CO2. And Mars can not hold a dense atmosphere for long, so you're spending trillions to fill a leaky bucket that can not be fixed.

>>Venus on the other hand has no water<<

Gotta' be some. We see lightning. I'm sure it's in uselessly small amounts, but there's got to be SOME.

>>and its surface temperature is 800f at the best of times.<<

Admittedly this is a pisser.

>>There is too much carbon on Venus so if you did manage to get a carbon cycle going the time line is in thousands of years instead of a few centuries for Mars. That is why Mars is a better candidate for teraforming than Venus is.<<

Honestly, I don't think Terraforming is viable for either planet. But I think Humans could live on Venus easier than they could live on Mars.

The Artist Formerly Known As Republibot 3.0

Republibot 3.0
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L1

>>A large enough solar sail (say an AU in diameter with a slot big enough for Earth to orbit through) parked at a close enough distance to equal the pull from Venus gravity could pull it farther out from the sun.<<

Wouldn't need to be that big. Just stick it in Venus' L1 position, a few million miles sunward. It would be reasonably stable, and would only need to be a few hundred thousand miles across. You'd just need to adjust it when light pressure pushes it off every so often.

But truth be told I'm not a huge fan of terraforming. I'm just not that much of an environmentalist. I think of the Europeans who looked at the Grand Canyon 400 years ago, and thought it ugly, who called Nebraska "The Great American Desert," and couldn't imagine it being useful, and who felt South Carolina "Too hot for human habitation." I wonder what we're missing. There might be advantages to these planets as they are. I mean, Venus gets less radiation at ground level than earth does because of that super-thick atmosphere. That heat might be a ready source of power if we could come up with a good superconducting heat exchanger.

The Artist Formerly Known As Republibot 3.0

10000li
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Christo

The parasol would have to b orange, natch.

Republibot 3.0
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Aerostats

>>...instead of bothering about terraforming the Venusan surface, we create airship cities at habitable levels in the atmosphere?<<

Theoretically doable, but it seems fragile to me. I like the exotic flavor.

>>I'm not sure of what products we could harvest from Venus to make such a colony worth while, but floating cities would be attainable much more quickly than re-making the planet in the ways you chaps have been suggesting.<<

None. None anywhere on any planet in the solar system. If you filled the Shuttle's cargo bay with 30 tons of lead, flew it to orbit, converted the lead to gold, and then came back down again, you would *STILL* lose money in the transaction. With the tech we've got at the moment ther'es no way to turn a profit. So the initial motive is to make it self-sufficient, and hope for profitiability further down the line.

The Artist Formerly Known As Republibot 3.0

Mama Fisi
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What if...

...instead of bothering about terraforming the Venusan surface, we create airship cities at habitable levels in the atmosphere?

I'm not sure of what products we could harvest from Venus to make such a colony worth while, but floating cities would be attainable much more quickly than re-making the planet in the ways you chaps have been suggesting.

A giant parasol? Has Christo heard about this?

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kelloggs2066
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Terraforming Venus

>>>Theoretically, Venus could be "spun up" with asteroids hitting it at the proper angle. The asteroids would also melt the crust, allowing exchange of gasses, which would perhaps create a way to suck the worst stuff out of the atmoshphere. Melting the crust and speeding up the rotation might help kick-start the generation of a magentic field<<<

I think it would be easier to get rid of Venus's atmosphere than it would be to build up Mars's.

By hitting Venus with a large enough water comet (or series of comets), you'd splash off some of the existing atmosphere and with the clouds stirred up, punch up it's albedo a bit. That would allow some cooling, with enough water, enough cooling to allow limestone to form, sucking more CO2 out of the atmosphere cooling things down further.

A large enough solar sail (say an AU in diameter with a slot big enough for Earth to orbit through) parked at a close enough distance to equal the pull from Venus gravity could pull it farther out from the sun.

In my comic strip, I've hit Venus with a 600km diameter comet. It'll take time to stableize.

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neorandomizer
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Mars is where it's at

Mars and Venus are both at the extreme edges of the habitable zone with Mars having an environment almost livable. In the summer it gets warm enough at the equator for liquid water. It would be easier to rise Mars’s temperature and thicken its atmosphere and since there is water already there a viable environment is only a century or two a way it we spend trillions+ on the project.

Venus on the other hand has no water and its surface temperature is 800f at the best of times. There is too much carbon on Venus so if you did manage to get a carbon cycle going the time line is in thousands of years instead of a few centuries for Mars. That is why Mars is a better candidate for teraforming than Venus is.

10000li
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Asteroid seeding

Our best option is to bomb Venus with asteroids to bring in liquid water, increase the density, and perhaps increase the rotational rate.

Theoretically, Venus could be "spun up" with asteroids hitting it at the proper angle. The asteroids would also melt the crust, allowing exchange of gasses, which would perhaps create a way to suck the worst stuff out of the atmoshphere. Melting the crust and speeding up the rotation might help kick-start the generation of a magentic field.

Sometime during our terra-forming, we'd have to bring in a moon, so Venus could have tides.

We could also put a giant parasol between Venus and the Sun to help cut down the amount of insolation and lower the temperature.

Since we already know what we're aiming for, and since were starting with an already formed planet, it probably won't take billions of years to make Venus into an Earth-like world, only millions.

"Can we do it?" "Yes, we can!"

PS Another reason why Mars is the defacto next planet is becuase it lies outward from us, in the direction we want to go. I know that really doesn't mean what it feels like it means, but we all know that people rely on what they feel more often than they rely on what they think.

Mama Fisi
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Extremophiles

Personally, neither option sounds attractive, but then I can't imagine myself living indoors for the rest of my life, especially if I'm going to go through all the trouble of moving to another planet.

Realistically, we should be experimenting more with building colonies in Antarctica and under the sea just to have a means of testing our ability (and our determination) to build protected environments in incredibly harsh places.

Last night, The Husband and I watched a fascinating "Modern Marvels" episode on Alaska Tech. Alaska's one of those places that you could not pay me enough money to go visit, never mind live; yet thousands of people live there and love it. It's a brutal topography and a brutal climate, and the people who live in it have devised all sorts of clever means of dealing with the harsh realities of "home." From fiberglas skis for the airplanes which are necessary to reach many towns, to heater pads to keep the car engines warm at 60 below, to sophisticated GPS systems to keep the snowplows from running into each other of off the road in whiteout conditions, Alaskans have learned how to cope.

Then, a few nights back, we watched a documentary on an underrwater colony which would be built off the Florida Keys--all speculative, but using computer modelling to get the timeline right. The Husband kept grumbling about "Why would they do this? What business will they work to pay for this?" It sounded like the argument I had been making against a lunar colony, almost word-for-word. Finally I turned to him and said, "Imagine if they can put a deepwater oil well under the surface, to protect the rig from storms...and this undersea colony is where the rig workers and their families will be able to live together in relative comfort."

He had to agree with that one.

Any colony would have to have a purpose, because of the exorbidant expense involved. Prospectors flooded into Alaska seeking gold, furs, fish, and later, oil. If there was no lucrative payoff in store, I doubt you'd convince anyone outside of a few whackos who like their privacy to move to a place where there are thousands of ways to die.

Consider the recent fire at Brazil's Antarctic base. Most of the researchers were able to get out and be relocated to a nearby Chilean base (IIRC); had that been a lunar, Martian, or Venusan colony, they would probably all have died in the fire. And if not in the fire, then the survivors would have had a long time to wait for help.

Then there was that female researcher a few years back who had breast cancer, and had to try to do her own chemo because there wasn't going to be any way to evacuate her until the return of spring opened the transit channels again.

Doing the groundwork for space colonies here on Earth should be the primary consideration. And using these Earth-based "colonies" to extract natural resources currently unavailable will help pay for them.

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